According to the author, the ongoing debate over blockchain valuation models creates uncertainty in crypto markets, similar to early internet valuation challenges, which can lead to price volatility and affect trading decisions. Traders should monitor emerging frameworks like velocity and flow, focusing on asset movement and economic activity, to better gauge blockchain utility and anticipate market trends.

According to Francisco Rodrigues, Bitcoin (BTC) climbed 1.7% to near $107,000 as a U.S.-brokered ceasefire between Iran and Israel eased geopolitical tensions, boosting risk assets per Susannah Streeter of Hargreaves Lansdown. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated a patient approach to interest rate cuts, supporting risk sentiment according to Bitunix analysts. Traders are monitoring Powell's Senate testimony and upcoming economic data, with derivatives showing neutral to bullish positioning around $105,000 as noted by Jake O of Wintermute.

According to Francisco Rodrigues, bitcoin (BTC) rose to nearly $107,000 as a U.S.-brokered ceasefire between Iran and Israel reduced geopolitical risks, lifting risk assets globally. Susannah Streeter, head of money markets at Hargreaves Lansdown, highlighted doubts about the truce's longevity due to intelligence reports. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized a patient approach to rate cuts, citing elevated inflation and tariff pressures, which Bitunix analysts noted supports risk assets but requires monitoring of upcoming economic data. Traders are positioning for BTC range-bound action between $100,000 and $105,000 ahead of options expiry, with modest bullish signals for higher strikes.

According to Francisco Rodrigues, Bitcoin declined by 2.9% to $104,889 amid Israeli airstrikes on Iran, causing a broad cryptocurrency market downturn with a key index falling 6.1% over 24 hours. Solana's SOL dropped nearly 9.5% despite earlier gains from SEC ETF speculation, as noted by Wintermute trader Jake Ostrovskis, who highlighted market underexposure to SOL. Polymarket data indicates a 91% chance of Iranian retaliation, heightening uncertainty, while derivatives open interest fell to $49.31 billion and put/call ratios rose, signaling increased demand for downside protection.

According to Aaron Brogan, recent crypto IPOs including Circle's $1.05 billion offering demonstrate strong market demand, with theories suggesting a public market premium benefiting assets like BTC and regulatory changes from the GENIUS Act potentially boosting stablecoins such as USDC. According to Jean-Marie Mognetti, survey data reveals nearly 90% of crypto holders plan to increase allocations, requiring advisors to provide risk management and regulatory guidance to support trading strategies.

According to Omkar Godbole, Bitcoin (BTC) rebounded to $105,000 after geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel eased, with bulls regaining control following an initial drop below $100,000. Valentin Fournier, lead research analyst at BRN, highlighted that ETF inflows and ProCap's IPO signal strong institutional demand despite ongoing risks. Fed members leaning toward rate cuts and eased banking restrictions support further market gains.

According to the analyst, blockchain valuation models remain unstandardized and flawed, similar to early internet valuation failures, which could lead to increased volatility and mispricing in cryptocurrency markets. The author proposes a velocity and flow framework to measure economic movement, such as stablecoin turnover and DeFi activity, offering traders better insights for assets like ETH and ADA.

According to Francisco Rodrigues, Bitcoin (BTC) rose to near $107,000, gaining 1.7% in 24 hours, as a U.S.-brokered ceasefire between Iran and Israel boosted global risk assets, although Susannah Streeter of Hargreaves Lansdown expressed doubts about its sustainability due to intelligence reports. Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized patience on interest rate cuts, citing elevated inflation and potential tariff pressures, which Bitunix analysts noted supports risk assets but requires monitoring of upcoming data. Traders are watching Powell's Senate testimony closely, with crypto derivatives indicating a neutral range play between $100,000 and $105,000, per Jake O of Wintermute.

According to Aaron Brogan, recent crypto IPOs including eToro, Galaxy Digital, and Circle raised over $2.27 billion combined, with Circle's market cap surging to $43.9 billion post-IPO, indicating strong market demand and potential public market premiums similar to MicroStrategy. Brogan cites the GENIUS Act and treasury yield increases as key factors influencing stablecoin issuers like USDC. According to Jean-Marie Mognetti, survey data shows nearly 90% of crypto holders plan to increase allocations, requiring advisors to provide risk management and regulatory guidance to build trust.

According to a Hyperion Decimus representative, digital assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) offer a superior risk-reward ratio, with BTC outperforming the S&P 500 by over three to one. Key benefits include blockchain transparency and DeFi efficiencies that cut intermediaries, while obstacles such as recency bias from events like FTX's collapse are comparable to traditional finance risks. For generating alpha in volatile markets, strategies include dollar-cost averaging a portfolio and trend investing based on adoption data and technology progression, with specific price points for ETH.

According to Francisco Rodrigues, Bitcoin rose to near $107,000 as a U.S.-brokered ceasefire between Iran and Israel lifted global risk assets, with the CoinDesk 20 index gaining 1%. Susannah Streeter of Hargreaves Lansdown highlighted doubts about the truce holding due to leaked U.S. intelligence reports on Iran's nuclear capabilities. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's 'wait-and-see' stance on interest rates supports risk assets, as noted by Bitunix analysts, while U.S. consumer-confidence data softened, increasing July rate cut odds to 20% per CME FedWatch. Derivatives trading shows neutral sentiment with range-bound expectations around $100,000-$105,000, per Jake O from Wintermute.

According to Francisco Rodrigues, Bitcoin (BTC) surged to near $107,000, gaining 1.7% in 24 hours, driven by a U.S.-brokered ceasefire between Iran and Israel that lifted risk assets globally, though Susannah Streeter of Hargreaves Lansdown warned doubts about the truce's stability could reignite market volatility. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's patient stance on interest-rate cuts, citing elevated inflation, was highlighted by Bitunix analysts as supportive for crypto, while OTC trader Jake O noted neutral derivatives positioning with rangeplay expectations between $100,000 and $105,000 for BTC options expiry.

According to the interviewee, digital assets like bitcoin (BTC) offer a risk-reward ratio over three times that of the S&P 500, providing superior quantitative diversity. Blockchain transparency enables real-time auditing, while DeFi efficiencies reduce reliance on intermediaries. For alpha in volatile markets, strategies include dollar-cost averaging a portfolio of assets and trend investing based on adoption curves and technology progression, with specific price points for ethereum (ETH) mentioned. The HD Acheilus Fund leverages quantitative signals for disciplined crypto investments.

According to an expert interviewed by CoinDesk Indices, digital assets offer a high risk-reward ratio, with BTC outperforming the S&P 500 by over 3:1 per increment, providing quantitative diversity of return. They emphasize transparency through auditable public blockchains and capital efficiencies in DeFi, which cuts out intermediaries like banks. Obstacles include recency bias from failures such as FTX and confirmation bias against assets like memecoins, alongside a lack of understanding about TradFi risks like fractional reserve banking. For alpha in volatile markets, strategies include dollar cost averaging a portfolio of assets like ETH and trend-based investing using adoption curves and technology progression. The HD CoinDesk Acheilus Fund leverages indices for disciplined crypto investment, shifting between tokens and cash based on signals.

According to the author, blockchain valuation models are still debated and lack standardization, similar to early internet valuation struggles, which creates pricing uncertainty for crypto assets and could increase market volatility. The author highlights that traditional metrics like discounted cash flow are inadequate, and proposes a new framework based on velocity and flow to measure economic activity, advising traders to incorporate such analyses for better risk assessment in cryptocurrency investments.

According to a Hyperion Decimus expert, digital assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) offer superior risk-reward ratios compared to traditional assets such as the S&P 500, with BTC outperforming by over three to one per risk increment. The expert recommends accumulation strategies involving dollar-cost averaging on a portfolio of top assets like ETH, coupled with specific trading plans that set price targets, such as buying ETH at $1,200 or selling at $4,000. For generating alpha in volatile markets, investing with the trend through monitoring adoption curves, monthly data points, and technology progression is advised. Additionally, the HD Acheilus Fund provides an institutional-focused, actively managed approach using quantitative signals to capitalize on crypto uptrends while avoiding drawdowns, emphasizing compliance with regulations like CFTC and SEC.

According to Omkar Godbole, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading resiliently near $105,000 despite escalating tensions between Iran and Israel, with Jeff Anderson of STS Digital noting that the minimal price drop signals strong institutional accumulation as BTC evolves into a treasury asset. QCP Capital attributes this stability to sustained institutional adoption, citing a smaller 3% pullback compared to historical declines during similar geopolitical events. LondonCryptoClub warns of potential altcoin sell-offs from upcoming large token unlocks, including SOL, ARB, and ZK, while ether options are becoming relatively costlier on Deribit, offering yield opportunities for holders. Key trading events include Brazil's launch of ETH and SOL futures and the U.S. GENIUS Act vote.

According to the article's author, blockchain valuation models remain unstandardized and controversial, similar to early internet challenges. Traditional methods like discounted cash flow (DCF) are inadequate for public infrastructure like blockchains, as they miss key aspects such as token emissions and decentralized coordination. A proposed velocity-based framework, focusing on asset movement metrics like stablecoin turnover and DeFi lending, could provide traders with better tools for assessing cryptocurrency investments and market dynamics.

According to the expert interviewed, digital assets offer a quantitative diversity of return with a risk-reward ratio over three times better than traditional assets like the S&P 500, providing transparency through public blockchains and efficiencies in decentralized finance (DeFi) that reduce reliance on central banks. Obstacles include recency bias from events such as the FTX collapse and a lack of understanding about counterparty risks in traditional finance. For generating alpha in volatile markets, strategies such as dollar-cost averaging and trend investing based on adoption curves and technology progression are recommended, with a new institutional fund utilizing quantitative signals for crypto trading.

According to the author, blockchain valuation models remain unstandardized and debated, similar to early internet valuation struggles, which can increase market volatility and affect trader decisions. For instance, recent price movements like ETH's 2.289% rise highlight how uncertainty influences crypto trading, emphasizing the need for new frameworks such as velocity-based models to assess assets like ETH and ADA. Traders should monitor these developments for risk management and strategic entries in decentralized finance markets.